Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.054499 0.058544 0.062754 0.067468 0.072603 0.078034 0.084219
2025-12-14 0.044493 0.050089 0.056241 0.063527 0.071948 0.081407 0.092880
2025-12-21 0.038655 0.045190 0.052702 0.062022 0.073339 0.086720 0.103857
2025-12-28 0.035378 0.042698 0.051436 0.062720 0.077028 0.094728 0.118535
2026-01-04 0.032714 0.040565 0.050245 0.063183 0.080218 0.102154 0.132983
2026-01-11 0.030115 0.038211 0.048471 0.062599 0.081822 0.107464 0.144938
2026-01-18 0.028071 0.036357 0.047119 0.062345 0.083690 0.113104 0.157686
2026-01-25 0.026031 0.034325 0.045334 0.061282 0.084247 0.116829 0.167877
2026-02-01 0.024026 0.032184 0.043221 0.059552 0.083634 0.118711 0.175345
2026-02-08 0.022345 0.030370 0.041420 0.058095 0.083238 0.120780 0.183152
2026-02-15 0.020912 0.028808 0.039862 0.056851 0.083013 0.123009 0.191301
2026-02-22 0.020064 0.028024 0.039356 0.057107 0.085045 0.128817 0.205745
2026-03-01 0.018720 0.026466 0.037658 0.055487 0.084098 0.129924 0.212587
2026-03-08 0.017303 0.024729 0.035604 0.053190 0.081916 0.128858 0.215587
2026-03-15 0.016365 0.023661 0.034496 0.052307 0.081955 0.131471 0.225376
2026-03-22 0.015893 0.023270 0.034398 0.053020 0.084676 0.138843 0.244625
2026-03-29 0.015392 0.022804 0.034150 0.053458 0.086942 0.145579 0.263371
2026-04-05 0.014729 0.022049 0.033398 0.053002 0.087605 0.149468 0.276940
2026-04-12 0.014170 0.021428 0.032825 0.052802 0.088691 0.154191 0.292656
2026-04-19 0.013511 0.020616 0.031897 0.051932 0.088491 0.156463 0.303511
2026-04-26 0.012787 0.019665 0.030694 0.050508 0.087170 0.156464 0.309507
2026-05-03 0.012153 0.018835 0.029652 0.049308 0.086177 0.157014 0.316730
2026-05-10 0.011592 0.018100 0.028738 0.048282 0.085441 0.157999 0.324997